A Model of Crises in Emerging Markets
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper presents a perfect foresight model of speculative attacks on emerging markets. Credit constrained governments are assumed to have two objectives: to accumulate liquid assets in order to self-insure against shocks to national consumption and to insure poorly regulated domestic ®nancial markets. This policy regime generates endogenous ®scal de®cits de®ned to include the growth of contingent liabilities. The model sets out a sequence of yield differentials consistent with capital in ̄ows followed by anticipated speculative attacks. The model suggests that a common shock generated capital in ̄ows to emerging markets in Asia and Latin America after 1989.
منابع مشابه
Determinants of Bonanza Episodes and Related Effects on Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries
Although capital inflows affect positively economies in long-run, it is possible to generate somehow destructive effects if there is no any control on financial markets. This study tries to explore main determinants of large capital inflows episodes to emerging markets. It is also investigated whether the large capital inflows episodes lead to financial crises in forms of sudden stop phenomenon...
متن کاملEvaluation of Corporate Governance Practices in Emerging Markets (A case study of Nigerian Banking Industry)
This study explores corporate governance practices within the context of the Nigerian banking industry using instances of corporate governance lapses that resulted in part to the Nigerian banking crises. We present multiple case analysis of publicly available documents and court papers (in the United Kingdom and Nigeria) to document instances of breach and areas of weakness in the existing Nige...
متن کاملOutput Loss from Sudden Stop of FDI and the Role of Macroeconomic Policies
Generally, international flows of capital and foreign direct investment attraction are challengeable issues in the literature of economic growth and development in emerging market countries. However, the fluctuations in foreign direct investment, including sudden flood and stop, will affect emerging markets' output and macroeconomic variables. Using an econometric model with unbalanced panel da...
متن کاملAre Financial Crises Indeed “Crises?” Evidence from the Emerging ADR Market
The recent episodes of financial turmoil in Mexico, East Asia, Russia, Brazil, and Argentina are often dubbed financial crises. However, the severe downturns in equity markets, abrupt currency devaluations, and massive capital flight that characterize these events can still be deemed compatible with efficient and functioning financial markets. Thus, why is a financial crisis a “crisis?” To answ...
متن کاملBanking and Currency Crises: How Common Are Twins?
The coincidence of banking and currency crises associated with the Asian financial crisis has drawn renewed attention to causal and common factors linking the two phenomena. In this paper, we analyze the incidence and underlying causes of banking and currency crises in 90 industrial and developed countries over the 1975-97 period. We measure the individual and joint (“twin”) occurrence of bank ...
متن کاملSovereign defaults and liquidity crises☆
a r t i c l e i n f o Sovereign debt crises in emerging markets are usually associated with liquidity and banking crises. The conventional view is that the domestic turmoil is the consequence of foreign retaliation, although there is no clear empirical evidence on " classic " default penalties. This paper emphasizes, instead, a direct link between sovereign defaults and liquidity crises buildin...
متن کامل